AGE-PERIOD-COHORT MODEL WITH PERIOD EFFECTS STRATIFIED BY AGE

نویسندگان

چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Forecasting with the age-period-cohort model?

Future pension liabilities depend critically on the life expectancy of the members of a pension scheme. This remark applies equally to public and private schemes, and to defined-benefit and defined-contribution schemes. Some pension providers use the age-period-cohort model to forecast mortality. We examine some of the pitfalls in this approach. Our methods are based on the theory of constraine...

متن کامل

Multivariate Age-Period-Cohort Models

Age-period-cohort (APC) models are used to analyse age-specific disease or mortality rates provided for several periods in time with respect to three time scales: age, period (calendar period during which the incidence or mortality rates were observed) and cohort (time of birth). Frequently, several sets of such age-specific rates are observed because data were recorded according to one further...

متن کامل

The unrealized potential: cohort effects and age-period-cohort analysis

This study aims to provide a systematical introduction of age-period-cohort (APC) analysis to South Korean readers who are unfamiliar with this method (we provide an extended version of this study in Korean). As health data in South Korea has substantially accumulated, population-level studies that explore long-term trends of health status and health inequalities and identify macrosocial determ...

متن کامل

The impossibility of separating age, period and cohort effects.

This commentary discusses the age-period-cohort identification problem. It shows that, despite a plethora of proposed solutions in the literature, no model is able to solve the identification problem because the identification problem is inherent to the real-world processes being modelled. As such, we cast doubt on the conclusions of a number of papers, including one presented here (Page, Milne...

متن کامل

Deviance analysis of age-period-cohort models

Age-period-cohort models for Lexis diagrams are considered. The identification problem is addressed by reparametrizing the models in terms of freely varying parameters. The reparametrisation covers all three Lexis diagrams. A new plot of the unidentified time effects is suggested and interpreted. Deviance analysis covering a wide range of sub-models is presented. The methods are applied to Belg...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Japanese Journal of Biometrics

سال: 1986

ISSN: 0918-4430,2185-6494

DOI: 10.5691/jjb.7.33